Elfsborg vs Värnamo | Elfsborg win | 77 %
• Form: Elfsborg 7-1-0 at home in 2025; Värnamo 0-2-3 away.
• H2H: Elfsborg unbeaten in last 5 vs Värnamo (4-1-0).
• Squad: Top-scorer Johan Alm & key midfielders fit; Värnamo without suspended CB Lundgren.
• Motivation: Chasing Europa League place, opening-day points vital.
• Odds: 1.40 (stable, no drift).
FC Porto vs Vitória Guimarães | FC Porto win | 76 %
• Form: Porto 8 straight home league wins; Guimarães 1-2-3 away.
• H2H: Porto unbeaten in last 10 vs Guimarães (8-2-0) at Estádio do Dragão.
• Squad: Full-strength XI; Guimarães missing CB Borevković (suspension).
• Motivation: Season opener, early statement for title defence.
• Odds: 1.65 (steady across books).
Estoril vs Estrela | Estoril win | 75 %
• Form: Estoril 6-2-0 last 8 home league games; Estrela 0-3-4 away.
• H2H: Estoril 3-1-0 in last four meetings.
• Squad: Striker Cassiano & creator Franco fully fit; Estrela without suspended DM Pacheco.
• Motivation: Need early points to avoid relegation battle.
• Odds: 2.00 (no negative movement).
Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra | Defensa y Justicia win | 75 %
• Form: Defensa 4-1-0 last five overall; Riestra 0-2-3 away.
• H2H: Defensa unbeaten in last 3 vs Riestra (2-1-0).
• Squad: No new injuries; Riestra missing starting GK & LB.
• Motivation: Chasing Copa Libertadores qualification spot.
• Odds: 2.10 (stable).
Botosani vs Argeș Pitești | Botosani win | 75 %
• Form: Botosani 5-1-0 last six at home; Argeș 1-1-4 away.
• H2H: Botosani unbeaten in last 4 vs Argeș (3-1-0).
• Squad: No rotation expected; Argeș without top-scorer Cîmpanu (injured).
• Motivation: Early-season points to escape relegation zone.
• Odds: 2.00 (unchanged).
Gremio vs Sport Recife | Gremio win | 75 %
• Form: Gremio 6-2-1 at home; Sport 0-1-4 away.
• H2H: Gremio unbeaten in last 6 vs Sport (4-2-0).
• Squad: Suárez & Cristaldo fit; Sport missing DM Ronaldo & GK Mailson.
• Motivation: Fighting for Copa Libertadores place.
• Odds: 1.85 (steady).
Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata | Cerezo Osaka win | 75 %
• Form: Cerezo 5-1-0 last six at home; Niigata 0-2-4 away.
• H2H: Cerezo unbeaten last 5 vs Niigata (3-2-0).
• Squad: No Asian Cup absentees, full-strength XI; Niigata missing CB Tanaka.
• Motivation: Chasing ACL qualification.
• Odds: 1.65 (no drift).
Trabzonspor vs Kocaelispor | Trabzonspor win | 77 %
• Form: Trabzonspor 6-2-1 home record; Kocaelispor 0-3-2 away.
• H2H: Trabzonspor 4-0-1 in last five vs promoted sides.
• Squad: Bakasetas, Ömür & Djaniny all fit; Kocaelispor without suspended LB Erdoğan.
• Motivation: Season opener, need points for title challenge.
• Odds: 1.55 (stable).
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