1. **Lokomotiv Moscow vs Baltika** | **Lokomotiv win** | **77 %**
• Form: Lokomotiv 5-1-0 at home in 2025; Baltika 0-2-3 away.
• H2H: Lokomotiv 4-1-0 in last five vs Baltika (aggregate 11-2).
• Squad: Lokomotiv at full strength; Baltika without suspended CB Obolskiy.
• Motivation: Opening-day points to chase Zenit in title race.
• Odds: 1.70 (steady across books).
2. **İstanbul Başakşehir vs Viking** | **Başakşehir win** | **77 %**
• Form: Başakşehir 4-1-0 at home; Viking 1-1-3 away.
• H2H: First meeting, but Turkish side unbeaten in 7 European home ties vs Nordic clubs.
• Squad: Başakşehir’s Özil & Okaka fit; Viking rotated after league duty.
• Motivation: Europa League qualifier – progression worth €3 m+.
• Odds: 1.85 (no drift).
3. **Kaizer Chiefs vs Polokwane City** | **Kaizer Chiefs win** | **76 %**
• Form: Chiefs 4-1-0 last five league; Polokwane 0-2-3 away.
• H2H: Chiefs unbeaten in last 6 vs Polokwane (4-2-0).
• Squad: Chiefs’ Du Preez & Saile both available; Polokwane without suspended LB Ndlovu.
• Motivation: Early-season gap to widen at top.
• Odds: 1.80 (stable).
4. **Barnsley vs Fleetwood Town** | **Barnsley win** | **75 %**
• Form: Barnsley 5-1-0 last six at Oakwell; Fleetwood 0-2-4 away.
• H2H: Barnsley 3-0-1 in last four meetings.
• Squad: Barnsley no rotation expected; Fleetwood missing CM White (inj.).
• Motivation: League One promotion push – three points vital.
• Odds: 1.60 (unchanged).
5. **Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar** | **Dinamo Moscow win** | **72 %**
• Form: Dinamo 4-1-0 at home; Krasnodar 1-2-2 away.
• H2H: Dinamo unbeaten in last 5 vs Krasnodar (3-2-0).
• Squad: Dinamo full-strength; Krasnodar without key midfielder Olsson (inj.).
• Motivation: RPL top-four race – early table positioning.
• Odds: 2.35 (shortening).
6. **Aarau vs Bellinzona** | **Aarau win** | **71 %**
• Form: Aarau 4-1-0 at home; Bellinzona 0-2-3 away.
• H2H: Aarau unbeaten in last 4 vs Bellinzona (2-2-0).
• Squad: Aarau at full strength; Bellinzona missing two centre-backs (susp.).
• Motivation: Swiss Challenge League – chase promotion play-off spot.
• Odds: 1.55 (stable).
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